Kirjahaku

I’Ve live in an astornshingly complex world, Yet what we do in our everyday lives seems simple enough. Most of us conform to society’s rules, pursue familiar strategies, and achieve reasonably predictable outcomes. In our role as economic agents, we simply peddle our wares and earn our daily bread as best we can.So where on earth does this astonishing complexity come from? Much of it is ubiquitous in nature, to be sure, but part of it lies within and between us. Part of it comes from those games of interaction that humans play—games against nature, games against each other, games of competition, games of cooperation. In bygone eras, people simply hunted and gathered to come up with dinner. Today you can find theoretical economists scratching mysterious equations on whiteboards (not even blackboards) and getting paid to do this. In the modern economy, most of us make our living in a niche created for us by what others do. Because we’ve become more dependent on each other, our economy as a whole has become more strongly interactive.

This book discusses and illustrates the emergent behavior produced due to cumulative pattern of interactions in a strongly interactive economy, reflecting the diversity of decisions taken by different economic agents. It takes a look at unexpected socioeconomic changes during the past millennium.

6. 2 Basic Model Characteristics 185 6. 3 A Closed Model Approach to Interregional Estimation 189 7 Towards an Integrated System of Models for National and Regional Development 205 7. 1 Introduction 205 7. 2 In Search of a Framework for Integration 207 7. 3 National Development Scenarios 222 7. 4 The National-Regional Interlace 231 7. 5 Regional Development Scenarios 236 7. 6 Concluding Remarks 244 Appendixes 253 A Basic Microstate Descriptions 253 B Incomplete Prior Information: A Simple Example 257 C Computing Capital Coefficients and Turnpike Solutions: The DYNIO Package 259 D Minimizing Information Losses in Simple Aggregation: Two Test Problems 274 E Computing Interregional and Intersectoral Flows: 276 References 287 Index 305 vi LIST OF FIGURES 1. 1 A Three-Dimensional Guide to Later Chapters 12 2. 1 Historical Development of the Entropy Concept 32 2. 2 Selected Applications of Information Theory to Input-Output Analysis and Interaction Modelling 48 3. 1 The Bose-Einstein Analogy 58 5. 1 The Dog-Leg Input-Output Table 159 7. 1 A General Multilevel Social System 219 7. 2 The Hierarchical System of Models 219 7. 3 Choice of Production Techniques 230 7. 4 The National-Regional Interface 235 7. 5 A Sequential Compromise Procedure 243 7. 6 The Integrated Modelling System 246 vii LIST OF TABLES 3. 1 Production-Constrained Microstate Descriptions 59 3. 2 Production-Constrained Entropy Formulae 62 3. 3 Production-Constrained Solutions 65 3. 4 Doubly-Constrained Solutions 73 4. 1 The Static Input-Output Table 85 4.