Kirjahaku

Risk analysis, in all its various forms, has become a science that is essential to all types of businesses that must cope with business uncertainties and unanticipated risk. This third edition provides up-to-date coverage of risk analysis as it is applied to a variety of business risks and situations in a way that is useful to a wide audience of business professionals.

THIRD EDITION (2022) The Applied CQRM Book Series showcases how the advanced analytics covered in the Certified in Quantitative Risk Management (CQRM) certification program can be applied to real-life business problems. In Volume I, we show how Risk Simulator and ROV BizStats can be used to perform quantitative analysis in graduate and postgraduate research. Pragmatic applications are emphasized in order to demystify the many elements inherent in quantitative analysis. A statistical black box will remain a black box if no one can understand the concepts despite its power and applicability. It is only when the black box methods become transparent, so that researchers can understand, apply, and convince others of their results, value-add, and applicability, that the approaches will receive widespread attention. This transparency is achieved through step-by-step applications of quantitative modeling as well as presenting multiple cases and discussing real-life applications. This book is targeted at those individuals who have completed the CQRM certification program but can also be used by anyone familiar with basic quantitative research methods--there is some-thing for everyone. It is also applicable for use as a second-year MBA/MS-level or introductory PhD textbook. The examples in the book assume some prior knowledge of the subject matter. Additional information on the CQRM program can be obtained at: www.iiper.org www.realoptionsvaluation.com THE BASICSCentral Tendency, Spread, Skew, KurtosisProbability, Bayes' Theorem, Trees, Combination, PermutationClassical, Standard, P-Value, CICentral Limit TheoremType I-IV Errors, Sampling BiasesData Types & Collection Design ANALYTICAL METHODST-Tests: Equal/Unequal/Paired Variance, F-Test, Z-TestANOVA, Blocked, Two-Way, ANCOVA, MANOVALinear/Nonlinear CorrelationNormality & Distributional Fitting: Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Chi-Square, Akaike Information Criterion, Anderson-Darling, Kuiper's, Schwarz/Bayes, Box-CoxNonparametrics: Runs, Wilcoxon, Mann-Whitney, Lilliefors, Q-Q, D'Agostino-Pearson, Shapiro-Wilk-Royston, Kruskal-Wallis, Mood's, Cochran's Q, Friedman'sInter/Intra-Rater Reliability, Consistency, Diversity, Internal/External Validity, PredictabilityCohen's Kappa, Cronbach's Alpha, Guttman's Lambda, Inter-Class Correlation, Kendall's W, Shannon-Brillouin-Simpson Diversity, Homogeneity, Grubbs Outlier, Mahalanobis, Linear & Quadratic Discriminant, Hannan-Quinn, Diebold-Mariano, Pesaran-Timmermann, Precision, Error ControlLinear/Nonlinear Multivariate RegressionMulticollinearity, HeteroskedasticityStructural Equation Modeling (SEM), Partial Least Squares (PLS)Endogeneity, Simultaneous Equations Methods, Two-Stage Least SquaresGranger Causality, Engle-GrangerAdvanced Regressions: Poisson, Deming, Ordinal Logistic, Ridge, Weighted, Bootstrap ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE AND MACHINE LEARNING (DATA SCIENCE)Bagging Linear BootstrapBagging Nonlinear BootstrapClassification and Regression Trees CARTCustom FitDimension Reduction Principal Component AnalysisDimension Reduction Factor AnalysisEnsemble Common FitEnsemble Complex FitEnsemble Time-SeriesGaussian Mix & K-Means SegmentationK-Nearest NeighborsLinear Fit ModelMultivariate Discriminant Analysis (Linear)Multivariate Discriminant Analysis (Quadratic)Neural Network (Cosine, Tangent, Hyperbolic)Logistic Binary ClassificationNormit-Probit Binary ClassificationPhylogenetic Trees & Hierarchical ClusteringRandom ForestSegmentation ClusteringSupport Vector Machines SVM

The Applied CQRM Book Series showcases how the advanced analytics covered in the Certified in Quantitative Risk Management (CQRM) certification program can be applied in real-life business problems. In Volume II, we show how Risk Simulator can be used to generate various probability distributions as well as how to interpret the results and use their analytical properties for making strategic decisions.Pragmatic applications are emphasized in order to demystify the many elements inherent in probability analysis. A black box will remain a black box if no one can understand the concepts despite its power and applicability. It is only when the black box methods become transparent, so that researchers can understand, apply, and convince others of their results, value-add, and applicability, that the approaches will receive widespread attention. This transparency is achieved through step-by-step applications of quantitative modeling as well as presenting multiple cases and discussing real-life applications. This book is targeted at those individuals who have completed the CQRM certification program but can also be used by anyone familiar with basic quantitative research methods--there is something for everyone. It is also applicable for use as a second-year MBA/MS-level or introductory PhD textbook. The examples in the book assume some prior knowledge of the subject matter. Additional information on the CQRM program can be obtained at: www.iiper.org www.realoptionsvaluation.com

The Applied CQRM Book Series showcases how the advanced analytics covered in the Certified in Quantitative Risk Management (CQRM) certification program can be applied to real-life business problems. In Volume III, we show how ROV's PEAT software can be used to evaluate a project's economics, simulate its uncertainties, run sensitivity analysis, and use their analytical properties for making strategic decisions. Pragmatic applications are emphasized in order to demystify the many elements inherent in risk analysis. A black box will remain a black box if no one can understand the concepts despite its power and applicability. It is only when the black box methods become transparent, so that researchers can understand, apply, and convince others of their results, value-add, and applicability, that the approaches will receive widespread attention. This transparency is achieved through step-by-step applications of quantitative modeling as well as presenting multiple cases and discussing real-life applications. This book is targeted at those individuals who have completed the CQRM certification program but can also be used by anyone familiar with basic quantitative research methods--there is something for everyone. It is also applicable for use as a second-year MBA/MS-level or introductory PhD textbook. The examples in the book assume some prior knowledge of the subject matter. Additional information on the CQRM program can be obtained at: www.iiper.org www.realoptionsvaluation.com

The Applied CQRM Book Series showcases how the advanced analytics covered in the Certified in Quantitative Risk Management (CQRM) certification program can be applied to real-life business problems. In Volume IV, we show how these analytics can be applied in the context of Enterprise Risk Management, using both qualitative risk registers and extending the results using quantitative analytical methods.Pragmatic applications are emphasized in order to demystify the many elements inherent in risk analysis. A black box will remain a black box if no one can understand the concepts despite its power and applicability. It is only when the black box methods become transparent, so that researchers can understand, apply, and convince others of their results, value-add, and applicability, that the approaches will receive widespread attention. This transparency is achieved through step-by-step applications of quantitative modeling as well as presenting multiple cases and discussing real-life applications. This book is targeted at those individuals who have completed the CQRM certification program but can also be used by anyone familiar with basic quantitative research methods--there is something for everyone. It is also applicable for use as a second-year MBA/MS-level or introductory PhD textbook. The examples in the book assume some prior knowledge of the subject matter. Additional information on the CQRM program can be obtained at: www.iiper.org www.realoptionsvaluation.com

The Applied CQRM Book Series showcases how the advanced analytics covered in the Certified in Quantitative Risk Management (CQRM) certification program can be applied to real-life business problems. In Volume V, we show how Credit, Market, Operational, and Liquidity (CMOL) Risks can be modeled using the CMOL software, Risk Simulator, and Modeling Toolkit. Pragmatic applications are emphasized in order to demystify the many elements inherent in risk analysis. A black box will remain a black box if no one can understand the concepts despite its power and applicability. It is only when the black box methods become transparent, so that researchers can understand, apply, and convince others of their results, value-add, and applicability, that the approaches will receive widespread attention. This transparency is achieved through step-by-step applications of quantitative modeling as well as through presenting multiple cases and discussing real-life applications. This book is targeted at those individuals who have completed the CQRM certification program but can also be used by anyone familiar with basic quantitative research methods--there is something for everyone. It is also applicable for use as a second-year MBA/MS-level or introductory PhD textbook. The examples in the book assume some prior knowledge of the subject matter. Additional information on the CQRM program can be obtained at: www.iiper.org www.realoptionsvaluation.com

The Applied CQRM Book Series showcases how the advanced analytics covered in the Certified in Quantitative Risk Management (CQRM) certification program can be applied to real-life business problems. In Volume VI, we show how to model and risk simulate complex projects to obtain schedule and cost risks.Pragmatic applications are emphasized in order to demystify the many elements inherent in risk analysis. A black box will remain a black box if no one can understand the concepts despite its power and applicability. It is only when the black box methods become transparent, so that researchers can understand, apply, and convince others of their results, value-add, and applicability, that the approaches will receive widespread attention. This transparency is achieved through step-by-step applications of quantitative modeling as well as through presenting multiple cases and discussing real-life applications. This book is targeted at those individuals who have completed the CQRM certification program but can also be used by anyone familiar with basic quantitative research methods--there is something for everyone. It is also applicable for use as a second-year MBA/MS-level or introductory PhD textbook. The examples in the book assume some prior knowledge of the subject matter. Additional information on the CQRM program can be obtained at: www.iiper.org www.realoptionsvaluation.com

La Serie de Libros sobre el CQRM Aplicado expone c mo la anal tica avanzada que figura en el programa de Certificaci n en Gesti n Cuantitativa de Riesgos (CQRM), se puede aplicar a los problemas de negocios en la vida real. En el Volumen IV, demostramos c mo se pueden aplicar estas anal ticas en el contexto de la Gesti n de Riesgos Empresariales, utilizando los registros cualitativos de riesgos y ampliando los resultados por medio de los m todos anal ticos cuantitativos.Se hace un nfasis en las aplicaciones pragm ticas con el fin de desmitificar los elementos inherentes al an lisis de riesgos. Una caja negra continuar siendo una caja negra si nadie puede entender los conceptos a pesar de su poder y su aplicabilidad. S lo hasta cuando los m todos de la caja negra se vuelven transparentes, para que los investigadores puedan entender, aplicar y convencer a otros de sus resultados, su valor agregado y la aplicabilidad, es que los enfoques recibir n una amplia atenci n. Esta transparencia se logra a trav s de las aplicaciones paso-a-paso de la modelaci n cuantitativa as como de la presentaci n de m ltiples casos y de la discusi n de las aplicaciones en la vida real.El presente libro va dirigido a aquellas personas que han completado el programa de certificaci n CQRM; pero tambi n lo pueden usar quienes est n familiarizados con los m todos b sicos cuantitativos de investigaci n- hay algo para todos. Es un texto igualmente aplicable a nivel de segundo a o de un MBA/MS o a nivel introductorio de un PhD. Los ejemplos que aparecen en el libro requieren de un conocimiento previo sobre el tema.Para obtener informaci n adicional sobre el programa CQRM, dir jase a los siguientes sitios Web: www.iiper.org www.realoptionsvaluation.com

La Serie de Libros sobre el CQRM Aplicado expone c mo la anal tica avanzada que figura en el programa de Certificaci n en Gesti n Cuantitativa de Riesgos (CQRM), se puede aplicar a los problemas de negocios en la vida real. Se hace un nfasis en las aplicaciones pragm ticas con el fin de desmitificar los elementos inherentes al an lisis de riesgos. Una caja negra continuar siendo una caja negra si nadie puede entender los conceptos a pesar de su poder y su aplicabilidad. S lo hasta cuando los m todos de la caja negra se vuelven transparentes, para que los investigadores puedan entender, aplicar y convencer a otros de sus resultados, su valor agregado y la aplicabilidad, es que los enfoques recibir n una amplia atenci n. Esta transparencia se logra a trav s de las aplicaciones paso-a-paso de la modelaci n cuantitativa as como de la presentaci n de m ltiples casos y de la discusi n de las aplica-ciones en la vida real.El presente libro va dirigido a aquellas personas que han com-pletado el programa de certificaci n CQRM; pero tambi n lo pueden usar quienes est n familiarizados con los m todos b sicos cuantitativos de investigaci n- hay algo para todos. Es un texto igualmente aplicable a nivel de segundo a o de un MBA/MS o a nivel introductorio de un PhD. Los ejemplos que aparecen en el libro requieren de un conocimiento previo sobre el tema.Para obtener informaci n adicional sobre el programa CQRM, dir jase a los siguientes sitios Web: www.iiper.org www.realoptionsvaluation.com

ROV Modeling Toolkit software models and functions are described in this book. Applications include Monte Carlo risk simulation, stochastic forecasting, advanced analytics, exotic options, and many others. Risk Simulator and Modeling Toolkit software applications are required to use these models.