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1000 tulosta hakusanalla J Hartwig

Taming Uncertainty

Taming Uncertainty

Ralph Hertwig; Timothy J. Pleskac; Thorsten Pachur

MIT Press
2019
sidottu
An examination of the cognitive tools that the mind uses to grapple with uncertainty in the real world.How do humans navigate uncertainty, continuously making near-effortless decisions and predictions even under conditions of imperfect knowledge, high complexity, and extreme time pressure? Taming Uncertainty argues that the human mind has developed tools to grapple with uncertainty. Unlike much previous scholarship in psychology and economics, this approach is rooted in what is known about what real minds can do. Rather than reducing the human response to uncertainty to an act of juggling probabilities, the authors propose that the human cognitive system has specific tools for dealing with different forms of uncertainty. They identify three types of tools: simple heuristics, tools for information search, and tools for harnessing the wisdom of others. This set of strategies for making predictions, inferences, and decisions constitute the mind's adaptive toolbox.The authors show how these three dimensions of human decision making are integrated and they argue that the toolbox, its cognitive foundation, and the environment are in constant flux and subject to developmental change. They demonstrate that each cognitive tool can be analyzed through the concept of ecological rationality-that is, the fit between specific tools and specific environments. Chapters deal with such specific instances of decision making as food choice architecture, intertemporal choice, financial uncertainty, pedestrian navigation, and adolescent behavior.
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Narvik Under Siege

Narvik Under Siege

Dale J. Hartvigsen

Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
2018
nidottu
This book will take you on a walk down memory lane to World War II. Taken from family letter segments, the story will grab the attention of war enthusiasts. It reveals locations of actual events in far northern Norway. It portrays the life struggles of a Norwegian family related to the author.
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Connecting Language and Disciplinary Knowledge in English for Specific Purposes

Connecting Language and Disciplinary Knowledge in English for Specific Purposes

Alissa J. Hartig

Multilingual Matters
2017
sidottu
How are language and disciplinary knowledge connected in the English for Legal Purposes (ELP) classroom, and how far should ELP practitioners go in supporting students’ acquisition of the conceptual frameworks that shape the genres they are learning? This book presents a pedagogical model for incorporating these conceptual frameworks into disciplinary language instruction and follows four focal participants as they learn to read and write new genres in a second language and disciplinary culture. By examining not just students’ written texts, but also their reading practices and interactions in class and in tutoring sessions, the book traces the ways in which disciplinary knowledge and language interact as students develop academic literacy in a new disciplinary community. Throughout the book, the discipline of law is used as a lens for examining broader connections between language, culture and disciplinary knowledge, and their relevance for English for Specific Purposes and writing in the disciplines.
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Jingles All The Way

Jingles All The Way

Dale J. Hartvigsen

Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
2018
nidottu
This is the story of the poet Anna Sophia Johnson, my aunt. She traveled widely and developed her talented skills in poetry, specifically for jingles. Her legacy lives on in both poetry and jingles. It also reveals much the Olaus and Karen Johnson family history, of which she was very proud.
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Das schlesische Riesengebirge

Das schlesische Riesengebirge

Mateusz J. Hartwich

Bohlau Verlag
2012
sidottu
Als die polnischen Neusiedler im Fruhjahr 1945 die Riesengebirgsregion im sudlichen Niederschlesien erreichten, fanden sie eine komplexe Kulturlandschaft vor, die durch eine jahrhundertelange deutsche Besiedlung gepragt war und seit dem 19. Jahrhundert zunehmend vom Fremdenverkehr gelebt hatte. Die Umwandlung der Region in eine polnische erforderte intensive Auseinandersetzungen mit ihrer geographischen, wirtschaftlichen und kulturellen Beschaffenheit. Dieser Prozess wird im vorliegenden Buch aus einem ungewohnten Blickwinkel beschrieben. Neben Verwaltungsakten und zeitgenossischen Veroffentlichungen stellen Reisefuhrer, Postkarten, Landkarten und Popularliteratur die Basis der Studie dar.
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Bayes Theory

Bayes Theory

J. A. Hartigan

Springer-Verlag New York Inc.
2011
nidottu
This book is based on lectures given at Yale in 1971-1981 to students prepared with a course in measure-theoretic probability. It contains one technical innovation-probability distributions in which the total probability is infinite. Such improper distributions arise embarras­ singly frequently in Bayes theory, especially in establishing correspondences between Bayesian and Fisherian techniques. Infinite probabilities create interesting complications in defining conditional probability and limit concepts. The main results are theoretical, probabilistic conclusions derived from probabilistic assumptions. A useful theory requires rules for constructing and interpreting probabilities. Probabilities are computed from similarities, using a formalization of the idea that the future will probably be like the past. Probabilities are objectively derived from similarities, but similarities are sUbjective judgments of individuals. Of course the theorems remain true in any interpretation of probability that satisfies the formal axioms. My colleague David Potlard helped a lot, especially with Chapter 13. Dan Barry read proof. vii Contents CHAPTER 1 Theories of Probability 1. 0. Introduction 1 1. 1. Logical Theories: Laplace 1 1. 2. Logical Theories: Keynes and Jeffreys 2 1. 3. Empirical Theories: Von Mises 3 1. 4. Empirical Theories: Kolmogorov 5 1. 5. Empirical Theories: Falsifiable Models 5 1. 6. Subjective Theories: De Finetti 6 7 1. 7. Subjective Theories: Good 8 1. 8. All the Probabilities 10 1. 9. Infinite Axioms 11 1. 10. Probability and Similarity 1. 11. References 13 CHAPTER 2 Axioms 14 2. 0. Notation 14 2. 1. Probability Axioms 14 2. 2.
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Sozialpsychiatrie

Sozialpsychiatrie

J. K. Wing; Peter Hartwich

Springer-Verlag Berlin and Heidelberg GmbH Co. K
1981
nidottu
Wer die Sozialpsychiatrie als ein eigensUindiges und losgelostes Fach ansieht, tragt dazu bei, daB der verbleibende Bereich der Psychiatrie als unsozial bezeichnet wird. Diese einseitige Polari sierung, die dem psychisch Kranken eher schadet als niitzt, gehort hoffentlich zu den verganglichen Modeerscheinungen unserer Zeit. Die Sozialpsychiatrie ist nach wie vor fester Bestandteil des Kembereichs der Psychiatrie, lediglich die soziale Perspektive wird etwas starker berucksichtigt als die iibrigen psychiatrischen Teilgebiete. Wiirden wir die somato-und psychotherapeutischen Erklarungs-und Behandlungsmoglichkeiten bei der Begegnung mit psychisch Kranken vemachlassigen zugunsten einer einseitig begrenzten Sozialperspektive, so wiirden wir unseren wissen schaftlich gewachsenen Boden zum Schaden der uns anvertrau ten psychisch kranken Menschen verlassen. Nicht einseitige Pola risierung sondem nur sinnvolle Integration der vielfaltigen und interessanten Teilbereiche unseres Faches kann zur angemesse nen Gewichtung der einzelnen Perspektiven fUhren, die dann im richtigen Mischungsverhaltnis gebiindelt dem individuellen psy chiatrisch Kranken als Hilfe angeboten werden sollten. Prof. Dr. J. K. Wing, der in der Fachwelt als einer der hervorra gendsten Wissenschaftler auf dem Gebiet der Sozialpsychiatrie gilt, ist die Integration dieses Teilbereichs in das Gesamtgebaude der Psychiatrie in seinem Buch beispielhaft gelungen. Aus einer Fiille von Konzepten und Theorien stellt er diejenigen vor, die den starksten EinfluB auf die Psychiatrie genommen haben. Un beirrbar diskutiert er empirisch gewonnene, zufallskritisch iiber prufte Grundlagen, die allein iiber das Schicksal einer Idee, einer Theorie oder einer Ideologie im psychiatrischen Feld entschei den."
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Veterinary Microbiology and Microbial Disease

Veterinary Microbiology and Microbial Disease

P. J. Quinn; B. K. Markey; F. C. Leonard; P. Hartigan; S. Fanning; E. S. Fitzpatrick

Wiley-Blackwell (an imprint of John Wiley Sons Ltd)
2011
nidottu
Microbiology is one of the core subjects for veterinary students, and since its first publication in 2002, Veterinary Microbiology and Microbial Disease has become an essential text for students of veterinary medicine. Fully revised and expanded, this new edition updates the subject for pre-clinical and clinical veterinary students in a comprehensive manner. Individual sections deal with bacteriology, mycology and virology. Written by an academic team with many years of teaching experience, the book provides concise descriptions of groups of microorganisms and the diseases which they cause. Microbial pathogens are discussed in separate chapters which provide information on the more important features of each microorganism and its role in the pathogenesis of diseases of animals. The international and public health significance of these pathogens are reviewed comprehensively. The final section is concerned with the host and is organized according to the body system affected. Tables, boxes and flow diagrams provide information in an easily assimilated format. This edition contains new chapters on molecular diagnostics and on infectious conditions of the skin, cardiovascular system, urinary tract and musculoskeletal system. Many new colour diagrams are incorporated into this edition and each chapter has been updated. Key features of this edition: Twelve new chapters includedNumerous new illustrationsEach chapter has been updatedCompletely re-designed in full colourFulfils the needs of veterinary students and academics in veterinary microbiologyCompanion website with figures from the book as Powerpoints for viewing or downloading by chapter: www.wiley.com/go/quinn/veterinarymicrobiology Veterinary Microbiology and Microbial Disease remains indispensable for all those studying and teaching this essential component of the veterinary curriculum.
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