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1000 tulosta hakusanalla Scott B. Vickers

Analysis of Uncertainty in ETMS Aggregate Demand Predictions

Analysis of Uncertainty in ETMS Aggregate Demand Predictions

Scott B. Smith; Eugene P. Gilbo; U. S. Department of Transportation

Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
2005
nidottu
The purpose of this research is to examine the accuracy of predicted ETMS airport and sector counts, and to attempt to develop better prediction algorithms. The remainder of this report is in six sections. - Section 1 Quality of Current Predictions Discussion of the accuracy of current flight predictions for a given location and 15-minute time interval. - Section 2 New Models for Predicting the Number of Flights The development and calibration of new models for predicting the number of flights in a 15-minute time interval. - Section 3 Testing Model 2 Discussion of the testing of one promising new model. - Section 4 Relationship between Flight Predictions and Monitor/Alert Discussion of the relationship between flight predictions and alerts, along with some performance metrics for alerts. - Section 5 Conclusion - Section 6 Next Steps - Section 7 References
Sailing the Apocalypse

Sailing the Apocalypse

Scott B Williams

Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
2015
pokkari
How far would you go to get your family out if you were convinced that America was doomed? Would you build an underground bunker and stockpile it with ammunition and supplies? Buy a cabin in the woods and start growing all your own food? Not if you were obsessed with boats the way Terry Bailey is obsessed. Terry has an escape plan to sail to the very ends of the earth; the only real option left to survive what's coming, according to him. Convincing his new wife, teen stepdaughter and preteen stepson that time is running out, he sells his recently-acquired family on the necessity to build a boat. Two years of hard labor later, Terry has his ship; a huge ocean-going catamaran he christens the Apocalypse. When the four of them move aboard and bid farewell to life on land, there is no need to wait for a disaster to strike, because Terry Bailey has created his own. Sailing the Apocalypse is the sometimes serious, sometimes humorous story of a man who is about to go too far, told from the perspective of the twelve-year-old stepson who watches it all unfold as he is swept along for the ride. Grab your copy now and you'll be instantly swept up in this tale of misadventure too
Voyage After the Collapse

Voyage After the Collapse

Scott B Williams

Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
2015
pokkari
How far will a father go to save his only daughter?Nothing goes as planned after a harrowing voyage from the Caribbean to New Orleans, but now that he has found Casey, Artie Drager and his brother, Larry are preparing to set sail again.First, they must cross the Gulf of Mexico to escape a mainland in chaos. Beyond that, the world awaits, but is anywhere really safe?VOYAGE AFTER THE COLLAPSE is the third book in this EMP thriller series featuring a world plunged into darkness, a father stranded in the Caribbean, and a desperate voyage to find his daughter and get her out.In his old life, Dr. Artie Drager practiced medicine at a V.A. hospital in a small southern city. In the aftermath of a devastating EMP, he finds himself wielding a rifle and fighting for his life as he charts new courses to distant horizons.
Landfall: Islands in the Aftermath

Landfall: Islands in the Aftermath

Scott B. Williams

Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
2016
nidottu
Does a sailing voyage ever really go as planned?Not when the world has been turned upside down by a devastating solar flare that disrupts GPS and communications systems.Landfall in the Bahamas doesn't work out the way Artie and Larry Drager envisioned, because now the two brothers must search a vast archipelago of out islands in hopes of finding their missing crew member. A stranger they encounter on a remote cay complicates matters even further, putting their vessels and their lives at risk.LANDFALL: ISLANDS IN THE AFTERMATH, is the fourth book in this EMP thriller series featuring a world plunged into darkness, a father stranded in the Caribbean, and a desperate voyage to find his daughter and get her out.In his old life, Dr. Artie Drager practiced medicine at a V.A. hospital in a small southern city. In the aftermath of a devastating EMP, he finds himself wielding a rifle and fighting for his life as he charts new courses to distant horizons.
Horizons Beyond the Darkness

Horizons Beyond the Darkness

Scott B. Williams

Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
2017
nidottu
Who can you trust when even the police have become desperate marauders?Their quest for refuge in the southern Bahamas proves short-lived when Artie and Larry and the rest of their crew survive a deadly encounter and must quickly leave the island nation or face accusations of murder.Once again, they set sail for the open sea, with no idea whether what they'll find over the horizon will be any better than the nightmare in their wake.HORIZONS BEYOND THE DARKNESS is the fifth book in this EMP thriller series featuring a world plunged into darkness, a father stranded in the Caribbean, and a desperate voyage to find his daughter and get her out.In his old life, Dr. Artie Drager practiced medicine at a V.A. hospital in a small southern city. In the aftermath of a devastating EMP, he finds himself wielding a rifle and fighting for his life as he charts new courses to distant horizons.
European Destiny, Atlantic Transformations

European Destiny, Atlantic Transformations

Scott B. MacDonald

Transaction Publishers
1993
sidottu
With the fall of its centuries-old empire in 1974-1975, Portugal embarked on a transitional period that reconciled a long tradition of acting out national interests overseas with the need to integrate itself into Western Europe. The result has been a deemphasis on various Atlantic and colonial linkages and the forging of a new and highly successful European identity within the framework of the European Community. In European Destiny, Atlantic Transformations Scott B. MacDonald offers a comprehensive analysis of Portugal's foreign policy and its highly successful venture in economic and political transformation.Although Portugal is firm in its committment to a European destiny, it has not turned its back on relations with the United States and its former colonies hi Africa and Asia. MacDonald traces the evolution of U.S.-Portuguese cooperation along economic, cultural, and military lines and shows how NATO has played a pivotal role in the process. This was most recently underscored when the U.S. made extensive use of the Azores during the Gulf War against Iraq. Likewise, in its ties with the Lusophone countries formerly under its control - Cape Verde, Guinea-Bissau, S - o Tom" and Princip" - Portugal has sought to improve political relations and act as a peacemaker in regional conflicts such as those in East Timor, Angola, and Mozambique.The scope of MacDonald's work takes in issues posed to Portugal by new foreign policy concerns that range from the breakup of the Soviet Union to the rise of Islamic fundamentalism in North Africa and the Middle East. He points out that in a world of rapidly shifting political and economic alignments, Portugal provides a representative model of a relatively small nation that has undergone succesful economic reform while deepening its committment to its new democratic system. As such, the Portuguese model is instructive for newly emerging democracies of Eastern Europe and Latin America. European Destiny, Atlantic Transformations is an important addition to the literature on post-Cold War politics. It will be read by historians, economists, and foreign policy specialists.
Fast Forward

Fast Forward

Scott B. MacDonald

Transaction Publishers
1997
sidottu
Latin America is developing rapidly. As the authors see the region, a small group of countries has found a fast-forward button. In these countries change is exciting, occurring at such a rapid pace that a major breakthrough hi economic growth appears within grasp. After an almost decade-long period of recession and stagnation, many Latin American economies now have elected governments. With a few exceptions, most have also improved their socioeconomic conditions beyond meeting basic human needs. Yet few North Americans or Europeans are aware of these advances. How does Latin America fit into the changing world in the 1990s, and why should someone living in the United States, Europe, or developed parts of the Pacific Basin care?Fast Forward shows that Latin America's economic renaissance clearly has implications for a post-Cold War world order. Latin America is starting to make important contributions, particularly in the areas of international diplomacy, economics, and culture. Collectively, Latin Americans now demonstrate a coherent collective will about where they wish to take themselves. This does not mean that U.S. influence in the Americas will soon disappear, but that new challenges in the international system will force greater equity in Western Hemisphere relationships.While Latin America in the 1990s offers much to be excited about, the authors caution that there are dangers in being too enthusiastic. The always-present potential for top-down authoritarian approaches must temper enthusiasm about a better Latin American future. Despite this, the authors see a well-defined departure from past economic modes occurring and the potential for a higher level of development for some countries. This book is for economists, sociologists, and political scientists interested in economic and political development, and researchers interested in Latin America in particular.
Bug Out

Bug Out

Scott B. Williams

Ulysses Press
2010
nidottu
WARNING SIRENS ARE BLARING. YOU HAVE 15 MINUTES TO EVACUATE. WHAT WILL YOU DO? Cataclysmic events strike sleepy towns and major cities every year. Residents face escaping quickly or perishing in rising waters, raging fires or other life-threatening conditions. By the time the evacuation starts, it's already too late. Being prepared makes the difference between survival and disaster. Guiding you step by step, Bug Out shows you how to be ready at a second's notice. * Create an escape plan for where to go and how to get there. * Pack the perfect bug-out bag for the first 72 hours. * Find food, water and other necessities outside of civilization. Floods. Hurricanes. Pandemics. Earthquakes. Blizzards. Tsunamis. Wildfires. Riots. Bug Out includes detailed information on the best escape locations everywhere in the U.S.: * The Pacific Coast * The Rocky Mountains * The Desert Southwest * The Heartland * The Lakes and Big Woods of the North * The Gulf Coast * The Appalachians * The Atlantic Coast