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1000 tulosta hakusanalla Michael Andrew Cook

Global Sensitivity Analysis

Global Sensitivity Analysis

Andrea Saltelli; Marco Ratto; Terry Andres; Francesca Campolongo; Jessica Cariboni; Debora Gatelli; Michaela Saisana; Stefano Tarantola

John Wiley Sons Inc
2008
sidottu
Complex mathematical and computational models are used in all areas of society and technology and yet model based science is increasingly contested or refuted, especially when models are applied to controversial themes in domains such as health, the environment or the economy. More stringent standards of proofs are demanded from model-based numbers, especially when these numbers represent potential financial losses, threats to human health or the state of the environment. Quantitative sensitivity analysis is generally agreed to be one such standard. Mathematical models are good at mapping assumptions into inferences. A modeller makes assumptions about laws pertaining to the system, about its status and a plethora of other, often arcane, system variables and internal model settings. To what extent can we rely on the model-based inference when most of these assumptions are fraught with uncertainties? Global Sensitivity Analysis offers an accessible treatment of such problems via quantitative sensitivity analysis, beginning with the first principles and guiding the reader through the full range of recommended practices with a rich set of solved exercises. The text explains the motivation for sensitivity analysis, reviews the required statistical concepts, and provides a guide to potential applications. The book: Provides a self-contained treatment of the subject, allowing readers to learn and practice global sensitivity analysis without further materials. Presents ways to frame the analysis, interpret its results, and avoid potential pitfalls. Features numerous exercises and solved problems to help illustrate the applications. Is authored by leading sensitivity analysis practitioners, combining a range of disciplinary backgrounds. Postgraduate students and practitioners in a wide range of subjects, including statistics, mathematics, engineering, physics, chemistry, environmental sciences, biology, toxicology, actuarial sciences, and econometrics will find much of use here. This book will prove equally valuable to engineers working on risk analysis and to financial analysts concerned with pricing and hedging.
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Allan Falk: mareritt! - eller?

Allan Falk: mareritt! - eller?

Yves Duval; Jean-Michel Charlier; André-Paul Duchâteau

Egmont Kids Media Nordic
2018
nidottu
Møt Allan Falk i et eventyr så dramatisk og besynderlig at det fortoner seg som et mareritt! I denne første historien med Max Tailer og Smack får de to kameratene en virkelig ilddåp på jagerflyskolen. Kampen mot sjørøverne er bare begynnelsen på de nervepirrende hendelsene for Howard Flynn!
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Allan Falk: demonenes fotspor

Allan Falk: demonenes fotspor

Greg; Jean-Michel Charlier; André-Paul Duchâteau

Egmont Kids Media Nordic
2018
nidottu
Del 1 Rødskjegg: Mytteri på galeien + Kongen over de syv hav: Rødskjeggs sønn vil ut av piratreiret, men med en dødsdom hengende over seg må han langt vekk - til fremmede og farlige farvann. Her får vi siste del av denne historien, som ikke tidligere er utgitt på norsk. Del 2: Red Kelly: Til kamp mot kvegtyvene!Med nesten hele farmens besetning som gisler hos indianerne skal det list, mot, slagkraft og uventet hjelp til for å løse flokene ...
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Ending Eden

Ending Eden

Michaelandre McCoy

Marshill Ink LLC
2022
pokkari
The "Gods" who brought us to Earth are coming back. But are They coming here to save us from ourselves--or to destroy us?The Anunnaki Council--made up of 12 Earth-born "Pures" from all over the globe--have convened to decide the fate of Earth humans. They have been tasked by the Celestial Pures (extraterrestrials), monitoring us from above, to choose one of four possible scenarios to be imposed on the people of Earth upon Their return: Should Earth-kind be destroyed, enslaved, abandoned, or ushered into a glorious future?Tempers flare and heartfelt opinions are shared as the Council delves into how Modern Man originally arrived on planet Earth, what we have and have not achieved, the Celestials' ongoing manipulation of us, and whether or not earth humans are, in fact, worth saving.Ending Eden answers questions you never knew you had; exposes centuries of institutionalized misinformation; makes sense out of common nonsense; explains the heretofore inexplicable; and casts a glaring light upon the truth of who we really are.Packed with over 100 colorful photographs and undeniable facts, this book will make you believe in our Celestial ancestors...no matter how skeptical you've been in the past.
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