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1000 tulosta hakusanalla Devin Caughey; Christopher Warshaw

Dynamic Democracy

Dynamic Democracy

Devin Caughey; Christopher Warshaw

THE UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO PRESS
2022
sidottu
A new perspective on policy responsiveness in American government. Scholars of American politics have long been skeptical of ordinary citizens’ capacity to influence, let alone control, their governments. Drawing on over eight decades of state-level evidence on public opinion, elections, and policymaking, Devin Caughey and Christopher Warshaw pose a powerful challenge to this pessimistic view. Their research reveals that although American democracy cannot be taken for granted, state policymaking is far more responsive to citizens’ demands than skeptics claim. Although governments respond sluggishly in the short term, over the long term, electoral incentives induce state parties and politicians—and ultimately policymaking—to adapt to voters’ preferences. The authors take an empirical and theoretical approach that allows them to assess democracy as a dynamic process. Their evidence across states and over time gives them new leverage to assess relevant outcomes and trends, including the evolution of mass partisanship, mass ideology, and the relationship between partisanship and ideology since the mid-twentieth century; the nationalization of state-level politics; the mechanisms through which voters hold incumbents accountable; the performance of moderate candidates relative to extreme candidates; and the quality of state-level democracy today relative to state-level democracy in other periods.
Dynamic Democracy

Dynamic Democracy

Devin Caughey; Christopher Warshaw

THE UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO PRESS
2022
nidottu
A new perspective on policy responsiveness in American government. Scholars of American politics have long been skeptical of ordinary citizens’ capacity to influence, let alone control, their governments. Drawing on over eight decades of state-level evidence on public opinion, elections, and policymaking, Devin Caughey and Christopher Warshaw pose a powerful challenge to this pessimistic view. Their research reveals that although American democracy cannot be taken for granted, state policymaking is far more responsive to citizens’ demands than skeptics claim. Although governments respond sluggishly in the short term, over the long term, electoral incentives induce state parties and politicians—and ultimately policymaking—to adapt to voters’ preferences. The authors take an empirical and theoretical approach that allows them to assess democracy as a dynamic process. Their evidence across states and over time gives them new leverage to assess relevant outcomes and trends, including the evolution of mass partisanship, mass ideology, and the relationship between partisanship and ideology since the mid-twentieth century; the nationalization of state-level politics; the mechanisms through which voters hold incumbents accountable; the performance of moderate candidates relative to extreme candidates; and the quality of state-level democracy today relative to state-level democracy in other periods.
The Unsolid South

The Unsolid South

Devin Caughey

Princeton University Press
2018
sidottu
During the Jim Crow era, the Democratic Party dominated the American South, presiding over a racially segregated society while also playing an outsized role in national politics. In this compelling book, Devin Caughey provides an entirely new understanding of electoral competition and national representation in this exclusionary one-party enclave. Challenging the notion that the Democratic Party’s political monopoly inhibited competition and served only the Southern elite, he demonstrates how Democratic primaries—even as they excluded African Americans—provided forums for ordinary whites to press their interests.Focusing on politics during and after the New Deal, Caughey shows that congressional primary elections effectively substituted for partisan competition, in part because the spillover from national party conflict helped compensate for the informational deficits of elections without party labels. Caughey draws on a broad range of historical and quantitative evidence, including archival materials, primary election returns, congressional voting records, and hundreds of early public opinion polls that illuminate ideological patterns in the Southern public. Defying the received wisdom, this evidence reveals that members of Congress from the one-party South were no less responsive to their electorates than members from states with true partisan competition.Reinterpreting a critical period in American history, The Unsolid South reshapes our understanding of the role of parties in democratic theory and sheds critical new light on electoral politics in authoritarian regimes.
The Unsolid South

The Unsolid South

Devin Caughey

Princeton University Press
2018
pokkari
During the Jim Crow era, the Democratic Party dominated the American South, presiding over a racially segregated society while also playing an outsized role in national politics. In this compelling book, Devin Caughey provides an entirely new understanding of electoral competition and national representation in this exclusionary one-party enclave. Challenging the notion that the Democratic Party’s political monopoly inhibited competition and served only the Southern elite, he demonstrates how Democratic primaries—even as they excluded African Americans—provided forums for ordinary whites to press their interests.Focusing on politics during and after the New Deal, Caughey shows that congressional primary elections effectively substituted for partisan competition, in part because the spillover from national party conflict helped compensate for the informational deficits of elections without party labels. Caughey draws on a broad range of historical and quantitative evidence, including archival materials, primary election returns, congressional voting records, and hundreds of early public opinion polls that illuminate ideological patterns in the Southern public. Defying the received wisdom, this evidence reveals that members of Congress from the one-party South were no less responsive to their electorates than members from states with true partisan competition.Reinterpreting a critical period in American history, The Unsolid South reshapes our understanding of the role of parties in democratic theory and sheds critical new light on electoral politics in authoritarian regimes.
Target Estimation and Adjustment Weighting for Survey Nonresponse and Sampling Bias

Target Estimation and Adjustment Weighting for Survey Nonresponse and Sampling Bias

Devin Caughey; Adam J. Berinsky; Sara Chatfield; Erin Hartman; Eric Schickler; Jasjeet S. Sekhon

Cambridge University Press
2020
pokkari
We elaborate a general workflow of weighting-based survey inference, decomposing it into two main tasks. The first is the estimation of population targets from one or more sources of auxiliary information. The second is the construction of weights that calibrate the survey sample to the population targets. We emphasize that these tasks are predicated on models of the measurement, sampling, and nonresponse process whose assumptions cannot be fully tested. After describing this workflow in abstract terms, we then describe in detail how it can be applied to the analysis of historical and contemporary opinion polls. We also discuss extensions of the basic workflow, particularly inference for causal quantities and multilevel regression and poststratification.
Devin's Gift

Devin's Gift

Alana Tyson

Penguin Putnam Inc
2025
sidottu
A joyous story of friendship and a celebration of being our true selves—and loving our friends for who they truly are. Perfect for fans of Julian is a Mermaid.Devin does everything with his best friend, Luka. They climb trees, share snacks, and play games—always together. So, when it comes time for Devin to get a birthday present for Luka, he knows it has to be just right. But what gift is best for his best friend?Devin’s family offers suggestions: a baseball mitt, a fire truck, a dinosaur. But Devin knows that none of those is quite right. It’s only when his grandmother offers some helpful advice that Devin realizes just what to get for Luka.In this heartwarming story of friendship at its most pure, embracing friends as they truly are is the greatest gift of all.
Devin's Second Chance

Devin's Second Chance

Lorraine Paton

Lorraine Paton
2013
pokkari
Cowboy Devin Trent can't believe his matchmaking mom is trying to set him up with Claire Best, the photographer at the local art gallery. She should know better than anyone why he doesn't deserve a second chance at love. What surprises him even more is that he is drawn to Claire and she seems interested in him, too. Their mutual attraction grows every time they see one another, but when he suspects Claire is keeping a secret he becomes wary. After all, his first marriage was ruined by secrets and lies. Can Devin earn Claire's trust? Or, will her secret end their relationship before it begins?84,000-word Contemporary Romance. Adult language, sexual situations.
Devin's Dress

Devin's Dress

Devin L. Hayden

Lucky Boots
2018
nidottu
With a new dress comes responsibility...Can she handle it?What happens when you have a girl, a new dress and a little misfortune? You get the book Devin's Dress written by first time kid author. Originally written from the mind and creativity of a 7 year old, Devin's Dress is sure to be a light-hearted, fun, and relatable lesson to help little ones learn that accidents happen, and it's okay
Devin's Dress

Devin's Dress

Devin L. Hayden

Lucky Boots
2018
sidottu
With a new dress comes responsibility...Can she handle it?What happens when you have a girl, a new dress and a little misfortune? You get the book Devin's Dress written by first time kid author. Originally written from the mind and creativity of a 7 year old, Devin's Dress is sure to be a light-hearted, fun, and relatable lesson to help little ones learn that accidents happen, and it's okay
Devin's Discovery

Devin's Discovery

Skylar Miller

Indy Pub
2020
pokkari
Devin's Discovery is a story about an ordinary boy who happens to wear orthotic braces. He realizes he's not as different as he thought as he discovers there are many other children who need special orthotics and prosthetics to support them, too A story of acceptance and embracing what makes us all unique, this is a book for EVERY child Devin and his three friends represent four unique ethnic backgrounds, which adds to the elements of diversity and inclusion already portrayed throughout the story. After enjoying a fun, rhyming story paired with colorful, eye-catching illustrations, readers can learn more about orthotic braces and prosthetics by viewing the informational section and photographs at the end of the book. If you've never heard of AFOs, SMOs, or prosthetic limbs, this part of the book will teach you all about these medical devices used by so many people to help them complete everyday activities
Devin Speaks Up (Paperback)

Devin Speaks Up (Paperback)

Devin Moore

IngramSpark
2022
pokkari
Devin Speaks Up is a Children's Anti-Bullying Book about Devin's bullying experience. As a beautiful brown child, Devin was bullied and experienced pain and sadness. Through speaking up about the bullying, Devin found his 'Race To Speak Up' voice. The children's book speaks about the importance of being okay with being different and loving who you are, speaking up to someone you trust about being bullied, and that kindness matters. It's not okay to be bullied. It's okay to be a friend. The story encourages kids to speak up and be upstanders for each other. We need to embrace each others' differences in a world that includes all kinds of people from all walks of life.
Devin Speaks Up!

Devin Speaks Up!

Devin Moore

IngramSpark
2022
sidottu
Devin Speaks Up is a Children's Anti-Bullying Book about Devin's bullying experience. As a beautiful brown child, Devin was bullied and experienced pain and sadness. Through speaking up about the bullying, Devin found his 'Race To Speak Up' voice. The children's book speaks about the importance of being okay with being different and loving who you are, speaking up to someone you trust about being bullied, and that kindness matters. It's not okay to be bullied. It's okay to be a friend. The story encourages kids to speak up and be upstanders for each other. We need to embrace each others' differences in a world that includes all kinds of people from all walks of life.https: //www.racetospeakup.com/shop
Devin's Dreams

Devin's Dreams

Warren Wansley

Lulu.com
2017
pokkari
Devin's Dream's is a book written for today's youth to encourage them to reach beyond their limits. This book will encourage anyone that reads Devin's Dream's to pursue greatness in their own lives.