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1000 tulosta hakusanalla Jennifer L. Castle; David F. Hendry

Climate Econometrics

Climate Econometrics

Jennifer L. Castle; David F. Hendry

now publishers Inc
2020
nidottu
Climate Econometrics: An Overview provides a review of the research in this new and growing field. The structure of the monograph is as follows: First, section 2 describes econometric methods for empirical climate modeling that can account for wide-sense non-stationarity, namely both stochastic trends and location shifts, with possibly large outliers, as well as dynamics and non-linearities. Section 3 considers hazards confronting empirical modeling of nonstationary time-series data using an example where a counter-intuitive finding is hard to resolve. The framework has a clear subject-matter theory, so is not mere 'data mining', yet the empirical result flatly contradicts the well-based theory. Section 4 provides a brief excursion into climate science, mainly concerned with the composition of the Earth's atmosphere and the role of CO2 as a greenhouse gas. Section 5 considers the consequences, both good and bad, of the Industrial Revolution raising living standards beyond the wildest dreams of those living in the 17th century, but leading to dangerous levels of CO2 emissions from using fossil fuels and consider applications of climate econometrics against that background. Section 6 illustrates the approach by modeling past climate variability over the Ice Ages. Section 7 models UK annual CO2 emissions over 1860-2017 to walk through the stages of modeling empirical time series that manifest all the problems of wide-sense non-stationarity. Section 8 concludes and summarizes a number of other empirical applications.
Modelling our Changing World

Modelling our Changing World

Jennifer L. Castle; David F. Hendry

Springer Nature Switzerland AG
2019
sidottu
This open access book focuses on the concepts, tools and techniques needed to successfully model ever-changing time-series data. It emphasizes the need for general models to account for the complexities of the modern world and how these can be applied to a range of issues facing Earth, from modelling volcanic eruptions, carbon dioxide emissions and global temperatures, to modelling unemployment rates, wage inflation and population growth.Except where otherwise noted, this book is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0.
Modelling Our Changing World

Modelling Our Changing World

David F Hendry; Jennifer L Castle

Saint Philip Street Press
2020
pokkari
This open access book focuses on the concepts, tools and techniques needed to successfully model ever-changing time-series data. It emphasizes the need for general models to account for the complexities of the modern world and how these can be applied to a range of issues facing Earth, from modelling volcanic eruptions, carbon dioxide emissions and global temperatures, to modelling unemployment rates, wage inflation and population growth. Except where otherwise noted, this book is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit http: //creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0. This work was published by Saint Philip Street Press pursuant to a Creative Commons license permitting commercial use. All rights not granted by the work's license are retained by the author or authors.
Modelling Our Changing World

Modelling Our Changing World

David F Hendry; Jennifer L Castle

Saint Philip Street Press
2020
sidottu
This open access book focuses on the concepts, tools and techniques needed to successfully model ever-changing time-series data. It emphasizes the need for general models to account for the complexities of the modern world and how these can be applied to a range of issues facing Earth, from modelling volcanic eruptions, carbon dioxide emissions and global temperatures, to modelling unemployment rates, wage inflation and population growth. Except where otherwise noted, this book is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit http: //creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0. This work was published by Saint Philip Street Press pursuant to a Creative Commons license permitting commercial use. All rights not granted by the work's license are retained by the author or authors.
Forecasting

Forecasting

David Hendry; Jennifer Castle; Michael Clements

Yale University Press
2019
pokkari
Concise, engaging, and highly intuitive—this accessible guide equips you with an understanding of all the basic principles of forecasting Making accurate predictions about the economy has always been difficult, as F. A. Hayek noted when accepting his Nobel Prize in economics, but today forecasters have to contend with increasing complexity and unpredictable feedback loops. In this accessible and engaging guide, David Hendry, Michael Clements, and Jennifer Castle provide a concise and highly intuitive overview of the process and problems of forecasting. They explain forecasting concepts including how to evaluate forecasts, how to respond to forecast failures, and the challenges of forecasting accurately in a rapidly changing world. Topics covered include: What is a forecast? How are forecasts judged? And how can forecast failure be avoided? Concepts are illustrated using real-world examples including financial crises, the uncertainty of Brexit, and the Federal Reserve’s record on forecasting. This is an ideal introduction for university students studying forecasting, practitioners new to the field and for general readers interested in how economists forecast.
Samurai Castles

Samurai Castles

Jennifer Mitchelhill; David Green

Tuttle Publishing
2018
sidottu
Japan's ancient castles provide deep insights into the country's compelling military history. Discover the secrets of Japan's feudal past by exploring the most famous castles of the Samurai era. The enormous stone walls, multi-level towers, and sophisticated defense systems are not simply impressive fortresses, but spectacular works of Japanese architecture, constructed without the use of steel or modern equipment. These monumental structures fulfilled a need for protection without sacrificing aesthetic values. Understanding the cultural contexts of these Samurai castles helps create a better understanding of Japanese culture today. In this fascinating Japanese castle book you will discover the rich history and creators of well-known castles such as Himeji, Osaka, and Nijo that you would otherwise need to travel to Japan to experience in person. Chronicling the story of each castle individually conveys a greater understanding of how and why they were built, and identifies their singular features for historians, architecture aficionados, world travelers, and Japanophiles alike. With over two hundred colour images, numerous diagrams, maps, and detailed descriptions, Samurai Castles is the most comprehensive Japanese history book on this intriguing topic.
Winter Solstice in the Crystal Castle

Winter Solstice in the Crystal Castle

Jennifer Ivy Walker

Wild Rose Press
2023
pokkari
Gabrielle is a flame haired, fire hearted French princess who dreams of becoming a Valkyrie warrior queen like her Viking ancestors from Normandy. Sent to Paris to learn the proper etiquette for a future French queen, she is called home to le Ch teau de Beaufort for a forced marriage to a man she loathes when her father the king's precarious health takes a sudden turn for the worse. Chivalrous, solitary knight Sir Bastien de Landuc suffers an impossible love for Gabrielle, the unattainable princess he can never have. Without a title of nobility, he is ineligible to compete in the tournament for her hand in marriage, despite his unparalleled equestrian skills and inimitable swordsmanship. Yet, Yuletide wishes for a wondrous winter solstice in the glorious Crystal Castle might make impossible dreams come true. Can the valiant knight win the coveted hand of his Viking Valkyrie?
The Shattered Castle (the Ascendance Series, Book 5): Volume 5
Acclaimed author Jennifer A. Nielsen brings her signature twists and high-stakes action to the fifth installment of the New York Times bestselling Ascendance Series King Jaron has outwitted the Prozarians and returned to his own kingdom with one secret in his pocket that not even his friends know about. He's hoping that secret will help him finally bring stability to Carthya.But a surprise attack on his own land -- on the castle itself -- reminds Jaron that nothing is easy. The Prozarian Monarch threatens to crumble Jaron's entire kingdom. And that's not the only thing in danger: With old enemies and new rumors circling around him, even Jaron's relationship with Imogen is uncertain.This former False Prince will need his best tricks and many allies at his side to hold Carthya together.
The Shattered Castle (the Ascendance Series, Book 5)

The Shattered Castle (the Ascendance Series, Book 5)

Jennifer A. Nielsen

Scholastic Press
2022
nidottu
Acclaimed author Jennifer A. Nielsen brings her signature twists and high-stakes action to the fifth installment of the New York Times bestselling Ascendance Series King Jaron has outwitted the Prozarians and returned to his own kingdom with one secret in his pocket that not even his friends know about. He's hoping that secret will help him finally bring stability to Carthya.But a surprise attack on his own land -- on the castle itself -- reminds Jaron that nothing is easy. The Prozarian Monarch threatens to crumble Jaron's entire kingdom. And that's not the only thing in danger: With old enemies and new rumors circling around him, even Jaron's relationship with Imogen is uncertain.This former False Prince will need his best tricks and many allies at his side to hold Carthya together
The Shattered Castle (the Ascendance Series, Book 5)
Acclaimed author Jennifer A. Nielsen brings her signature twists and high-stakes action to the fifth installment of the New York Times bestselling Ascendance Series King Jaron has outwitted the Prozarians and returned to his own kingdom with one secret in his pocket that not even his friends know about. He's hoping that secret will help him finally bring stability to Carthya.But a surprise attack on his own land -- on the castle itself -- reminds Jaron that nothing is easy. The Prozarian Monarch threatens to crumble Jaron's entire kingdom. And that's not the only thing in danger: With old enemies and new rumors circling around him, even Jaron's relationship with Imogen is uncertain.This former False Prince will need his best tricks and many allies at his side to hold Carthya together.
Schneeküsse auf Eastwood Castle

Schneeküsse auf Eastwood Castle

Jennifer Lillian

dp Verlag
2024
pokkari
Zweite Chance oder Neuanfang f r die Liebe?Der bezaubernde Liebesroman vor der winterlichen Kulisse eines englischen SchlosshotelsNell wartet vergeblich auf den Heiratsantrag ihres langj hrigen Freundes Greg, wobei die einstigen Schmetterlinge im Bauch schon l ngst verflogen sind. Um dem tristen Beziehungsalltag zu entfliehen und das Leben ohne M nner zu genie en, beschlie t sie, vier Wochen im idyllischen Eastwood Castle in England zu verbringen. Doch statt die ersehnte Ruhe im winterlichen M rchenschloss anzutreffen, l uft ihr Dylan ber den Weg, ihr verhasster Schulkamerad aus Kindheitstagen. Und pl tzlich steht Erholung nicht mehr im Vordergrund, denn Dylan, der sich als berraschend attraktiv entpuppt, sorgt f r ordentlich Gef hlschaos bei Nell ...Dies ist eine Neuausgabe des bereits erschienenen Titels Snowflake Love.Erste Leser: innenstimmen"Ein weihnachtlicher Liebesroman voller Charme und berraschungen ""Nell's Reise nach Eastwood Castle ist eine wundersch ne Mischung aus Selbstfindung und unerwarteter Liebe.""Die romantische Kulisse und die charmanten Charaktere, allen voran Dylan, haben f r eine fesselnde Liebesgeschichte gesorgt.""Eine Enemies-to-Lovers-Romance die das Herz erw rmt und zum Tr umen einl dt "
The Beginning of After

The Beginning of After

Jennifer Castle

Harpercollins
2013
nidottu
The Beginning of After is a story of hope and healing from Jennifer Castle, a powerful new voice in teen fiction.When Laurel's family dies in a horrific car accident, she struggles to put her life back together. She is now connected to David Kaufman, who lives down the block, and who lost his mother in the same crash. Both of their lives change--but not in the ways that they thought...Castle blends tragedy with romance, teen angst, and wit in The Beginning of After, a bittersweet, powerful debut novel that stands as a testament to how people can survive the unthinkable.
You Look Different in Real Life

You Look Different in Real Life

Jennifer Castle

Harpercollins
2016
nidottu
Readers of John Green, Sarah Dessen, and Laurie Halse Anderson will be touched by the emotional depth and realistic characters of Jennifer Castle's teen novel You Look Different in Real Life.Justine charmed the nation in a documentary film featuring five kindergartners. Five years later, her edgy sense of humor made her the star of a second movie that caught up with the lives of the same five kids.Now Justine is sixteen, and another sequel is in the works. Justine isn't ready to have viewers examining her life again. She feels like a disappointment, not at all like the girl everyone fell in love with in the first two movies. But, ready or not, she and the other four teens will soon be in front of the cameras again.Smart, fresh, and funny, You Look Different in Real Life is an affecting novel about life in an age where the lines between what's personal and what's public aren't always clear. Now available in paperback with a fresh new look
The Aristokittens #1: Welcome to the Creature Café

The Aristokittens #1: Welcome to the Creature Café

Jennifer Castle

Random House/Disney
2022
nidottu
For fans of Unicorn Princesses and Purrmaids, this illustrated chapter book series follows kittens Marie, Berlioz, and Toulouse from Disney's The Aristocats as they embark on their next adventure--opening a Parisian critter caf Meet the Aristokittens, a trio of siblings with big (and delicious) plans One day, while chasing each other through the streets of Paris, Marie, Berlioz, and Toulouse uncover an abandoned caf made just for animals. After hearing stories of the caf 's wondrous past, the kittens decide to reopen the place themselves. But the trio can't agree on the menu, music, and decorations. With opening day creeping closer, can the kittens avoid a total catastrophe and create the purrfect recipe for success? Filled with mystery, humor, and friendship, each book in the Aristokittens series expands the world of Disney's The Aristocats through the eyes of its iconic kitten trio . . . and is the perfect recipe for fun Don't miss the Aristokittens' next adventure: * The Great Biscuit Bake-Off