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1000 tulosta hakusanalla Mike West; Jeff Harrison

Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models

Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models

Mike West; Jeff Harrison

Springer-Verlag New York Inc.
1997
sidottu
This text is concerned with Bayesian learning, inference and forecasting in dynamic environments. We describe the structure and theory of classes of dynamic models and their uses in forecasting and time series analysis. The principles, models and methods of Bayesian forecasting and time - ries analysis have been developed extensively during the last thirty years. Thisdevelopmenthasinvolvedthoroughinvestigationofmathematicaland statistical aspects of forecasting models and related techniques. With this has come experience with applications in a variety of areas in commercial, industrial, scienti?c, and socio-economic ?elds. Much of the technical - velopment has been driven by the needs of forecasting practitioners and applied researchers. As a result, there now exists a relatively complete statistical and mathematical framework, presented and illustrated here. In writing and revising this book, our primary goals have been to present a reasonably comprehensive view of Bayesian ideas and methods in m- elling and forecasting, particularly to provide a solid reference source for advanced university students and research workers.
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Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models

Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models

Mike West; Jeff Harrison

Springer-Verlag New York Inc.
2013
nidottu
This text is concerned with Bayesian learning, inference and forecasting in dynamic environments. We describe the structure and theory of classes of dynamic models and their uses in forecasting and time series analysis. The principles, models and methods of Bayesian forecasting and time - ries analysis have been developed extensively during the last thirty years. Thisdevelopmenthasinvolvedthoroughinvestigationofmathematicaland statistical aspects of forecasting models and related techniques. With this has come experience with applications in a variety of areas in commercial, industrial, scienti?c, and socio-economic ?elds. Much of the technical - velopment has been driven by the needs of forecasting practitioners and applied researchers. As a result, there now exists a relatively complete statistical and mathematical framework, presented and illustrated here. In writing and revising this book, our primary goals have been to present a reasonably comprehensive view of Bayesian ideas and methods in m- elling and forecasting, particularly to provide a solid reference source for advanced university students and research workers.
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Applied Bayesian Forecasting and Time Series Analysis

Applied Bayesian Forecasting and Time Series Analysis

Andy Pole; Mike West; Jeff Harrison

CRC Press
2019
nidottu
Practical in its approach, Applied Bayesian Forecasting and Time Series Analysis provides the theories, methods, and tools necessary for forecasting and the analysis of time series. The authors unify the concepts, model forms, and modeling requirements within the framework of the dynamic linear mode (DLM). They include a complete theoretical development of the DLM and illustrate each step with analysis of time series data. Using real data sets the authors: Explore diverse aspects of time series, including how to identify, structure, explain observed behavior, model structures and behaviors, and interpret analyses to make informed forecasts Illustrate concepts such as component decomposition, fundamental model forms including trends and cycles, and practical modeling requirements for routine change and unusual events Conduct all analyses in the BATS computer programs, furnishing online that program and the more than 50 data sets used in the text The result is a clear presentation of the Bayesian paradigm: quantified subjective judgements derived from selected models applied to time series observations. Accessible to undergraduates, this unique volume also offers complete guidelines valuable to researchers, practitioners, and advanced students in statistics, operations research, and engineering.
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Applied Bayesian Forecasting and Time Series Analysis

Applied Bayesian Forecasting and Time Series Analysis

Andy Pole; Mike West; Jeff Harrison

Chapman Hall/CRC
1994
sidottu
Practical in its approach, Applied Bayesian Forecasting and Time Series Analysis provides the theories, methods, and tools necessary for forecasting and the analysis of time series. The authors unify the concepts, model forms, and modeling requirements within the framework of the dynamic linear mode (DLM). They include a complete theoretical development of the DLM and illustrate each step with analysis of time series data. Using real data sets the authors: Explore diverse aspects of time series, including how to identify, structure, explain observed behavior, model structures and behaviors, and interpret analyses to make informed forecasts Illustrate concepts such as component decomposition, fundamental model forms including trends and cycles, and practical modeling requirements for routine change and unusual events Conduct all analyses in the BATS computer programs, furnishing online that program and the more than 50 data sets used in the text The result is a clear presentation of the Bayesian paradigm: quantified subjective judgements derived from selected models applied to time series observations. Accessible to undergraduates, this unique volume also offers complete guidelines valuable to researchers, practitioners, and advanced students in statistics, operations research, and engineering.
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People Analytics For Dummies

People Analytics For Dummies

Mike West

John Wiley Sons Inc
2019
nidottu
Maximize performance with better data Developing a successful workforce requires more than a gut check. Data can help guide your decisions on everything from where to seat a team to optimizing production processes to engaging with your employees in ways that ring true to them. People analytics is the study of your number one business asset—your people—and this book shows you how to collect data, analyze that data, and then apply your findings to create a happier and more engaged workforce. Start a people analytics projectWork with qualitative dataCollect data via communications Find the right tools and approach for analyzing data If your organization is ready to better understand why high performers leave, why one department has more personnel issues than another, and why employees violate, People Analytics For Dummies makes it easier.
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Time Series

Time Series

Raquel Prado; Marco A. R. Ferreira; Mike West

TAYLOR FRANCIS LTD
2023
nidottu
Focusing on Bayesian approaches and computations using analytic and simulation-based methods for inference, Time Series: Modeling, Computation, and Inference, Second Edition integrates mainstream approaches for time series modeling with significant recent developments in methodology and applications of time series analysis. It encompasses a graduate-level account of Bayesian time series modeling, analysis and forecasting, a broad range of references to state-of-the-art approaches to univariate and multivariate time series analysis, and contacts research frontiers in multivariate time series modeling and forecasting. It presents overviews of several classes of models and related methodology for inference, statistical computation for model fitting and assessment, and forecasting. It explores the connections between time- and frequency-domain approaches and develop various models and analyses using Bayesian formulations and computation, including use of computations based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods. It illustrates the models and methods with examples and case studies from a variety of fields, including signal processing, biomedicine, environmental science, and finance. Along with core models and methods, the book represents state-of-the art approaches to analysis and forecasting in challenging time series problems. It also demonstrates the growth of time series analysis into new application areas in recent years, and contacts recent and relevant modeling developments and research challenges. New in the second edition: Expanded on aspects of core model theory and methodology. Multiple new examples and exercises. Detailed development of dynamic factor models. Updated discussion and connections with recent and current research frontiers.
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Time Series

Time Series

Raquel Prado; Marco A. R. Ferreira; Mike West

Productivity Press
2021
sidottu
Focusing on Bayesian approaches and computations using analytic and simulation-based methods for inference, Time Series: Modeling, Computation, and Inference, Second Edition integrates mainstream approaches for time series modeling with significant recent developments in methodology and applications of time series analysis. It encompasses a graduate-level account of Bayesian time series modeling, analysis and forecasting, a broad range of references to state-of-the-art approaches to univariate and multivariate time series analysis, and contacts research frontiers in multivariate time series modeling and forecasting. It presents overviews of several classes of models and related methodology for inference, statistical computation for model fitting and assessment, and forecasting. It explores the connections between time- and frequency-domain approaches and develop various models and analyses using Bayesian formulations and computation, including use of computations based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods. It illustrates the models and methods with examples and case studies from a variety of fields, including signal processing, biomedicine, environmental science, and finance. Along with core models and methods, the book represents state-of-the art approaches to analysis and forecasting in challenging time series problems. It also demonstrates the growth of time series analysis into new application areas in recent years, and contacts recent and relevant modeling developments and research challenges. New in the second edition: Expanded on aspects of core model theory and methodology. Multiple new examples and exercises. Detailed development of dynamic factor models. Updated discussion and connections with recent and current research frontiers.
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North-West Half-cab Buses

North-West Half-cab Buses

Mike Rhodes

AMBERLEY PUBLISHING
2024
nidottu
Following on from his volume focusing on the final years of half-cab buses in the Midlands, Mike Rhodes looks at the major bus fleets employing half-cab buses in North-West England in the 1970s, including those located around Manchester, Liverpool and beyond. Packed with previously unpublished images, this is an evocative and interesting record of a fascinating period in the region’s transport history.
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Key West Smackdown

Key West Smackdown

Mike Pettit

Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
2013
nidottu
Key West runs blood red as Jack Marsh is caught between a ruthless Cuban Drug Lord, known as El Condor, that has had ten million dollars stolen from him by someone in Key West, and an aging Mafia Don that knows who made the heist, and will kill to get it for himself. The heart pounding race through Old Town Key West, a storm tossed crossing of the Florida Strait to an isolated beach on the north shore of Cuba, then back out to a showdown in the deep waters around an old coral cay has Jack Marsh running against the clock as he tries to determine who is friend and who is foe ...and how to dump the money before he gets himself killed.The mystique of Key West, the beauty of the coral reefs and cays surrounding the area, the mysterious deep waters of the Florida Strait known as The Blue. The characters that make Key West the magnet of the Islands all come alive in an action suspense thriller that will leave you breathless.
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Key West Slam: Jack Marsh Action Thriller

Key West Slam: Jack Marsh Action Thriller

Mike Pettit

Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
2018
nidottu
KEY WEST SLAM, a Jack Marsh Action Thriller BOLD EXPLOSIVE GRIT-LIT ACTION FROM THE FIRST PAGE Not since Papillion has there been such a brutal story of survival, determination, and revenge. Sure, to be a Best Selling Sensation with Action Thriller readers "Boss Dalton hung Jack by his feet with a quarter-inch cable and left him exposed to everything the Everglades had to offer in torment. With his hands tied behind his back, he had no defense against the buzzing and biting attacks on his naked body. The night was terrifying, filled with creepy crawling, stinging, biting insects and creatures of the swamp. The prisoner swinging next to him screamed insanely throughout the night, by daylight the man was silent with insanely vacant eyes that stared off into green haze. Jack's only thought was escape and the revenge he would meet out . . . if he survives." Framed for a murder he didn't commit, Jack is propelled into a system within a system of crime and punishment. Where the rule of law is left at the end of an asphalt road and torture begins. The trail leads into the wild Florida Everglades to the secret Camp 3, a camp where the hardest of criminals are sent and never return. Jack's unbelievable escape with another inmate through snake and alligator infested waters with disease bubbling up from the primordial mud with every step and armed men in pursuit. KEY WEST SLAM has Jack Marsh held in a prison camp deep in the Florida Everglades, a camp that is totally off the grid, where prisoners are sent and never leave. Brutal, torturous days working in waist-deep mangroves alive with snakes, insects, and alligators. Nights filled with cruel sadistic trustee guards where food is used as a weapon and weakness can cost a man his life. #9 in the Jack Marsh Key West Series.
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West Texas

West Texas

Mike Cochran; John Lumpkin; John T. Montford

Texas Tech Press,U.S.
1999
sidottu
The Big Bend, the Big Country, the Big Empty. The High Plains, the Permian and the Panhandle. Cowboys, Cowtown and the curl of a killer tornado. A place where you can stretch your eyeballs. Where the Hale-Bopp comet, hardly visible above some smoggy, light-polluted cities, looked like it could drop into the Pecos River at any moment. ""West Texas"", home to the states biggest legends, is chronicled by two authors who have spent most of their careers crisscrossing it. Mike Cochran and John Lumpkin, Associated Press journalists, bring their experiences to the pages of this handsome volume, accompanied by fifty photographs of the West Texas landscape, its people and its history. Converse with West Texas characters like Stanley Marsh 3, conman Billy Sol Estes, and Big Springs merry messiah, Marj Carpenter. Meet Gordon Wood, Friday night footballs winningest coach, and Groner Pitts, Brownwoods liveliest undertaker. Remember ranching icon Watt Matthews, the founders of Santa Rita No. 1, and Lubbocks C. W. Stubblefield, magnet to blues and country music stars. Honor Hallie Stillwell, Frenchy McCormick, and even modern arts Georgia OKeeffe, who put their stamp on Texas' most fascinating region. A West Texan once said, they show no pictures of my province or even neighboring provinces. They leave a big hole in Texas. No more is that the case, thanks to Mike Cochran and John Lumpkin.
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West Texas Tales

West Texas Tales

Mike Cox

History Press
2011
nidottu
Historian Mike Cox has been writing about Texas history for four decades, sharing tales that have been overlooked or forgotten through the years. Travel to El Paso during the Big Blow" of 1895, brave the frontier with Elizabeth Russell Baker, and stare do
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Bridport and West Bay

Bridport and West Bay

Mike Williams

Royal Commission on Historical Monuments
2006
nidottu
Bridport is an industrial market town on the west Dorset coast which has played a pivotal role in the region's hemp and flax industry for over 700 years. The industrial heritage of this town is not widely known outside the area and very little has been published on the regional and national significance of Bridport. Hemp and flax was traditionally grown locally and used for the production of cordage, netting and sailcloth: this industry expanded from the 18th century onwards with the construction of new mills and warehouses along with the continued use of traditional rope and twine walks, creating a highly distinctive range of building types.
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West Hamin murha

West Hamin murha

Mike Hollow

bazar
2026
sidottu
Murha keskellä Lontoon pommituksia. Mike Hollow'n West Hamin murha aloittaa historiallisen Blitz-dekkarisarjan, jossa rikoskomisario John Jago tutkii rikoksia Lontoon synkillä kaduilla, sodan langettaessa varjonsa kaiken ylle. Aurinkoisena syyskuun päivänä vuonna 1940 lontoolaiset näyttävät heittäneen mielestään sodan - kunnes ilmatorjuntahälytys ujeltaa merkkinä vihollisen hyökkäyksestä. Salamasota alkaa ja normaali elämä päättyy siihen. Mutta rikokset eivät. Samana yönä West Hamin pikkukaduilta löydetään miehen ruumis. Kun rikoskomisario John Jago kutsutaan paikalle, hän tunnistaa uhrin olevan paikallinen rauhantuomari Charles Villiers. Kuolema vaikuttaa epäilyttävältä, mutta saksalaisten pommi tuhoaa kaikki todisteet. Sota tai ei, murha on silti murha, ja Jagon tehtävänä on selvittää totuus. Lontoossa asuva Mike Hollow (s. 1953) on työskennellyt mm. toimittajana, kääntäjänä ja copywriterina. Hän rakastaa viihdyttävien tarinoiden luomista ja on nykyään täysipäiväinen kirjailija. West Hamin murha on ensimmäinen häneltä suomennettu teos ja se aloittaa sota-ajan Lontooseen sijoittuvan historiallisen Blitz-dekkarisarjan.
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