Christian Curriden

New Directions for Projecting Land Power in the Indo-Pacific

Jonathan P Wong; Michael J Mazarr; Nathan Beauchamp-Mustafaga; Michael Bohnert; Scott Boston; Christian Curriden; Derek Eaton; Gregory Weider Fauerbach; Joslyn Fleming; Katheryn Giglio; Dahlia Anne Goldfeld; Derek Grossman; Timothy R Heath; John C Jackson; Michael E Linick; Eric Robinson; Lisa Saum-Manning; Ryan A Schwankhart; Michael Schwille; Stephan B Seabrook; Alice Shih; Jonathan Welch

RAND Corporation

2023

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This report seeks to address how the U.S. Army can most effectively project and employ land power in the Indo-Pacific, during competition and conflict, with a focus on scenarios involving China. The authors developed three concepts to guide the Army's ground force role in the theater, offering the essential architecture of basing, information, relationships, and flexible combat power needed to make the joint force effective.

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How Can the Mobility Air Forces Better Support Adaptive Basing?

David T Orletsky; Jeffrey S Brown; Bradley Deblois; Patrick Mills; Daniel M Norton; Julia Brackup; Christian Curriden; Adam R Grissom; Robert A Guffey

RAND Corporation

2023

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Managing Escalation While Competing Effectively in the Indo-Pacific

Bryan Frederick; Kristen Gunness; Bonny Lin; Cortez A Cooper; Bryan Rooney; James Benkowski; Nathan Chandler; Cristina L Garafola; Jeffrey W Hornung; Karl P Mueller; Paul Orner; Timothy R Heath; Christian Curriden; Emily Ellinger

RAND Corporation

2023

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This report assesses how China may react to expanded or varied U.S. military activities in the Indo-Pacific. It provides a framework of key factors likely to determine Chinese responses and identifies the characteristics of U.S. military activities that may either enhance deterrence of Chinese aggression or increase the risks of an escalatory Chinese reaction.

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The People's Liberation Army's Search for Overseas Basing and Access

Cristina L Garafola; Timothy R Heath; Christian Curriden; Meagan L Smith; Derek Grossman; Nathan Chandler; Stephen Watts

RAND Corporation

2023

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The authors develop a framework of 17 indicators to assess valuable attributes of potential host nations from Beijing's perspective, focusing not only on the utility of host nations (desirability) but also on China's ability to secure access (feasibility). They recommend strategies for the U.S. government, the U.S. Department of Defense, and the U.S. Army to better understand China's overseas plans and to prioritize risks to U.S. forces.

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Stabilizing Great-Power Rivalries

Michael J Mazarr; Samuel Charap; Abigail Casey; Irina a Chindea; Christian Curriden; Alyssa Demus; Bryan Frederick; Arthur Chan; John P Godges; Eugene Han; Timothy R Heath; Logan Ma; Elina Treyger; Teddy Ulin; Ali Wyne

RAND

2021

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The international system appears headed for a renewed era of intense competition among major powers. The authors sought to identify the factors that keep such rivalries stable and those that lead to conflictual outcomes. Leveraging theory and historical case studies, the authors created a framework for assessing the stability of a strategic rivalry, then applied it to the current U.S.-Russia and U.S.-China competitions.

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Disrupting the Chinese Military in Competition and Low-Intensity Conflict

Timothy R Heath; Eric Robinson; Christian Curriden; Derek Grossman; Sale Lilly; Daniel Egel; Gabrielle Tarini

RAND Corporation

2024

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Expanding on prior research, the authors identify the tasks that the People's Liberation Army (PLA) would likely be assigned by Chinese leaders to achieve strategic goals both in peacetime competition with the United States and in a hypothetical low-intensity conflict. They then analyze potential vulnerabilities in the PLA's execution of those tasks and how the United States could leverage those vulnerabilities to disrupt China's strategic goals.

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Strategic Disruption by Special Operations Forces

Eric Robinson; Timothy R Heath; Gabrielle Tarini; Daniel Egel; Mace Moesner; Christian Curriden; Derek Grossman; Sale Lilly

RAND Corporation

2024

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This report develops a new concept for strategic disruption by special operations forces, exploring how disruptive campaigns can frustrate an adversary's preferred strategy and enable friendly gains across multiple instruments of national power. This research articulates a clear framework for special operations campaigning short of war, particularly when potentially escalatory conventional options are ill-suited or infeasible.

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Great-Power Competition and Conflict in Africa

Marta Kepe; Elina Treyger; Christian Curriden; Raphael S Cohen; Kurt Klein; Ashley L Rhoades; Erik Schuh; Nathan Vest

RAND Corporation

2023

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This report-part of a four-volume series-explores where and how the United States, China, and Russia are competing for influence in Africa; what kinds of interests they have in the continent; where and why competition might turn into conflict; what form that conflict might take; and the implications for the United States, particularly the Department of the Air Force.

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Great-Power Competition and Conflict in Latin America

Irina a Chindea; Elina Treyger; Raphael S Cohen; Christian Curriden; Kurt Klein; Carlos Sanchez; Holly Gramkow; Khrystyna Holynska

RAND Corporation

2023

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This report-part of a four-volume series-explores where and how the United States, China, and Russia are competing for influence in Latin America; what kinds of interests they have in the continent; where and why competition might turn into conflict; what form that conflict might take; and the implications for the United States, particularly the Department of the Air Force.

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Simulating Chinese Gray Zone Coercion of Taiwan

Raymond Kuo; Christian Curriden; Cortez A Cooper; Joan Chang; Jackson Smith; Ivana Ke

RAND Corporation

2023

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This paper shares the results of an exercise hosted by the RAND Corporation to explore the risk of escalation from Chinese activities in the gray zone to conventional war. The results showed an overall low risk of Taiwanese escalation because of Chinese military power and Chinese and U.S. constraints on Taiwan's decisionmaking. The exercise's U.S. team would consider escalation to military force only if Taiwan faced an existential threat.

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Great-Power Competition and Conflict in the Middle East

Ashley L Rhoades; Elina Treyger; Nathan Vest; Christian Curriden; Brad A Bemish; Irina a Chindea; Raphael S Cohen; Jessica Giffin; Kurt Klein

RAND Corporation

2023

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This report-part of a four-volume series-explores where and how the United States, China, and Russia are competing for influence in the Middle East; what kinds of interests they have in the region; where and why competition might turn into conflict; what form that conflict might take; and the implications for the United States, particularly the Department of the Air Force.

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Great-Power Competition and Conflict in the 21st Century Outside the Indo-Pacific and Europe

Raphael S Cohen; Elina Treyger; Irina a Chindea; Christian Curriden; Kristen Gunness; Khrystyna Holynska; Marta Kepe; Kurt Klein; Ashley L Rhoades; Nathan Vest

RAND Corporation

2023

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This report explores where and how the United States, China, and Russia may be competing for influence in secondary theaters (Africa, the Middle East, and Latin America); where and why competition might turn into conflict; what form that conflict might take; and what implications the findings have for the U.S. government at large, the joint force, and the Department of the Air Force.

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How Can the Mobility Air Forces Better Support Adaptive Basing?

David T Orletsky; Jeffrey S Brown; Bradley Deblois; Patrick Mills; Daniel M Norton; Julia Brackup; Christian Curriden; Adam R Grissom; Robert A Guffey

RAND Corporation

2023

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The U.S. Air Force is exploring adaptive basing (AB) concepts to reduce the vulnerability of U.S. forces and to preserve critical combat capabilities in highly contested environments. These concepts are likely to stress the U.S. Air Force's global mobility capabilities. This report assesses the impact of AB concepts on the Mobility Air Forces and to recommends enhancements to better support AB operations in a contested environment.

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Assessing Systemic Strengths and Vulnerabilities of China's Defense Industrial Base

Cortney Weinbaum; Caolionn O'Connell; Steven W Popper; M Scott Bond; Hannah Jane Byrne; Christian Curriden; Gregory Weider Fauerbach; Sale Lilly; Jared Mondschein; Jon Schmid

RAND

2022

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In response to a requirement in the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021, the authors examine the strengths and vulnerabilities of China's defense industrial base (DIB) by designing and applying a comparative analytic structure that could be used to assess any country's DIB. They assess six areas: economics; governance and regulations; research, development, and innovation; workforce, labor, and skills; manufacturing; and raw materials.

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Implementing China's Grand Strategy in Asia Through Institutions

Rafiq Dossani; Lynn Hu; Christian Curriden

RAND

2022

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China's economic growth has led to a rise in its regional and global ambitions. In this report, the authors review the literature on China's grand strategy, its use of institutions, and its emphasis on Asia. Drawing on the input of policy experts, the authors discuss China's use of institutions in implementing its grand strategy toward Asian nations of interest to China, including, as a case study, the countries of the Korean Peninsula.

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China's Military Interventions

Timothy R Heath; Christian Curriden; Bryan Frederick

RAND

2021

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Great powers have frequently employed large, expeditionary military forces engaged in various operations abroad. As China has ascended in power, observers have debated whether the country might follow a similar path. China has undertaken two types of military interventions in its post-1949 history. The report's authors assess which one of two patterns is likely to predominate in China's future and how this pattern might change.

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Influencing Adversary States

Paul K Davis; Angela O'Mahony; Christian Curriden

RAND

2021

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In this report, the authors describe an experimental "thinking-Red" approach to analysis, wargaming, and other exercises that might help inform strategies to avoid aggression or escalation in a crisis. The approach can be applied to (1) diverse potential adversaries, (2) direct and gray-zone conflicts, and (3) different levels of crisis, conflict or competition. The approach features alternative models of the adversary.

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Chinese Views of Big Data Analytics

Derek Grossman; Christian Curriden; Logan Ma; Lindsey Polley; J D Williams; Cortez A Cooper

RAND

2020

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Chinese primary-source materials indicate that China is aggressively working toward becoming a global leader in big data analytics as part of its plan to achieve great power status. The authors of this report assessed a variety of primary sources, including specific ministry-level plans and guidance, and pinpointed how Beijing is using big data analytics to survey its domestic population and enhance its military capabilities.

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Maintaining the Competitive Advantage in Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning

Rand Waltzman; Lillian Ablon; Christian Curriden

RAND

2020

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Artificial intelligence (AI) technologies hold the potential to become critical force multipliers in future armed conflicts. The People's Republic of China has identified AI as key to enhancing its national competitiveness and security. If its current AI plan is successful, China will achieve a substantial military advantage over the United States and its allies. That has significant negative strategic implications for the United States.

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